Ukraine has so far strongly opposed
the Russian occupation. The capital successfully repulsed Russian attempts to
occupy Kiev. Is it right that Putin's idea of "taking over Ukraine as
soon as possible" did not work? Russian troops are facing serious difficulties
at the field level. The war is being waged without utilizing any of the local
resources. Western surveillance systems, anti-tank missiles, and surface-to-air
missiles, on the other hand, are converging on Ukraine. As a result, Ukrainian
forces were able to create a military stalemate in the capital, Kyiv. On the
other hand, it is expected that Russia will be in a dilemma as it will not be
able to continue the war for a long time due to the blow of Western sanctions
on Russia and will not accept defeat.
Analysts say Russia will have the
upper hand because of its sophisticated weapons, unstoppable air power and
indiscriminate use of missiles. If that happens and Russia wins, it will not be
enough to overthrow the Ukrainian president and subdue the army. Putin's
challenge is to bring the entire country of four million people under Russian
control. Four of the countries that seceded from the former Soviet Union have
already joined the NATO alliance. An attack on one country in a NATO alliance
is like an attack on all nations. In this context, no one expects Putin to dare
to attack NATO member states. Because it risks leading to nuclear war. NATO is
also unlikely to go to war directly against Russia.
But if he continues to
indirectly provide financial and weapons assistance to Ukraine, then Putin is
expected to resort to provocative measures. Putin also kept an eye on the
growing dissent in Russia against the attack on Ukraine. The steel foot was
laid on the media. With that, the opportunity to know the news of the war
through alternative means was lost. Loyalty to the Russian government has
increased the grip of the media. However, the Russians have been holding
rallies in cities such as Moscow and St. Petersburg to protest the war. The
Putin government has arrested about 10,000 of them. It is expected that the
fall of the Putin government will eventually lead to the demise of the
populace. But even in Russia, like in neighboring Belarus, there was no chance
of suppressing popular uprisings.
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